Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.259555 0.302324 0.349599 0.405684 0.470363 0.542571 0.629257
2025-04-20 0.189539 0.246966 0.317433 0.410047 0.528342 0.674159 0.867323
2025-04-27 0.158580 0.223858 0.310138 0.432042 0.599322 0.820245 1.133539
2025-05-04 0.135243 0.203915 0.300379 0.444957 0.655228 0.948819 1.388593
2025-05-11 0.115853 0.185057 0.287576 0.449324 0.696713 1.059100 1.628050
2025-05-18 0.099367 0.167240 0.272729 0.447033 0.725926 1.152332 1.850390
2025-05-25 0.085456 0.150950 0.257352 0.440795 0.746698 1.233044 2.060131
2025-06-01 0.074691 0.138011 0.245202 0.437426 0.770440 1.319275 2.285836
2025-06-08 0.063937 0.123355 0.227980 0.422785 0.772746 1.369526 2.455859
2025-06-15 0.061084 0.122463 0.234385 0.449819 0.849435 1.551650 2.867558
2025-06-22 0.052962 0.110435 0.219040 0.435289 0.849681 1.600339 3.048923
2025-06-29 0.046044 0.099719 0.204690 0.420612 0.847472 1.643502 3.223230
2025-07-06 0.040064 0.090172 0.191633 0.407306 0.847269 1.692030 3.416174
2025-07-13 0.036581 0.085391 0.187531 0.411487 0.882054 1.810690 3.756546
2025-07-20 0.035110 0.084768 0.191882 0.433547 0.955294 2.011110 4.277320
2025-07-27 0.032978 0.082322 0.191997 0.446504 1.010838 2.181326 4.753572
2025-08-03 0.030402 0.078443 0.188440 0.450887 1.048333 2.317889 5.173134
2025-08-10 0.027647 0.073706 0.182299 0.448587 1.070653 2.424311 5.538447
2025-08-17 0.024948 0.068698 0.174868 0.442329 1.083203 2.510660 5.868191
2025-08-24 0.022721 0.064559 0.168971 0.438949 1.101893 2.611996 6.240419
2025-08-31 0.020126 0.059043 0.158965 0.424259 1.092061 2.648098 6.468153
2025-09-07 0.019901 0.059972 0.165346 0.451383 1.186493 2.932079 7.294986
2025-09-14 0.017711 0.055043 0.155930 0.436804 1.175908 2.969154 7.543361